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2015 Visa Bulletin Predictions

DOS Visa Bulletin Predictions Made in November 2015:

The Department of State published their predictions on monthly cutoff date movement for the next few months in the December 2015 Visa Bulletin:

  • EB1: Current
  • EB2:
    • Worldwide: Current
    • China: Forward movement of this date during FY-2015 has resulted in a dramatic increase in demand. Little, if any movement is likely during the coming months.
    • India: Up to eight months.
  • EB3:
    • Worldwide: The rapid forward movement during FY-2015 was expected to generate a significant amount of demand for numbers. If such demand fails to materialize in the near future it will be necessary to begin advancing this cut-off date.
    • China: Rapid forward movement. Such movement will result in increased demand which will require "corrective" action as early as April.
    • India: Up to three weeks.
    • Mexico: Will remain at the worldwide date.
    • Philippines: Four to six weeks.
  • EB4: Current
  • EB5: The category will remain "Current" for most countries. China-mainland born: Slow forward movement.
  • Family-Sponsored worldwide dates:
    • F1: Three to six weeks
    • F2A: Three to six weeks
    • F2B: Up to one month
    • F3: Two to four weeks
    • F4: Three or four weeks

DOS Visa Bulletin Predictions Made in January 2015:

The Department of State published their predictions on monthly cutoff date movement for the next few months in the November 2014 Visa Bulletin:

  • EB1: Current
  • EB2:
    • Worldwide: Current
    • China: Three to six weeks
    • India: Four to six months
  • EB3:
    • Worldwide: Rapid forward movement for at least another month or two. The rapid movement in recent months should generate a significant amount of demand for numbers. Once such demand materializes at the anticipated rate it will have a direct impact on this cut-off date.
    • China: Rapid forward movement. Such movement is likely to result in a dramatic increase in demand which could require "corrective" action within the next six months.
    • India: Up to two weeks.
    • Mexico: Will remain at the worldwide date.
    • Philippines: Will remain at the worldwide date. Increased demand may require "corrective" action at some point later in the fiscal year.
  • EB4: Current
  • EB5: Current - for most countries. The expected increase in China-mainland born demand would require the establishment of a cut-off date for such applicants no later than the summer months.
  • Family-Sponsored worldwide dates:
    • F1: Up to three weeks
    • F2A: Three or four weeks
    • F2B: Three to six weeks
    • F3: Up to three weeks
    • F4: Two to four weeks