For the upcoming April 2010 Visa Bulletin, we predict that cut-off date for China EB-2 to be October 15 or 22, of 2005. This is based on the newly released DOS Visa Office explanation of how cutoff dates are established.
Well, the offical April VB should arrive within a couple days, so we will see if this calculation is accurate. If it is, we will tell you how we come up with that number in a follow-up post.
This exercise is more fun than useful, because it doesn’t help you much by knowing the cutoff dates just a bit earlier. And there is no guarantee that DOS will continue to publish their data every month. But it is a good way to understand how the process works, and it has certainly helped me.
What is your predication for India?
EB2 India is difficult to estimate because DOS only showed breakdown data as of 2006.
I’ll just leave my “prediction” like that, as an example, because there are several other variables that VO didn’t disclose, which may be used in their calculation of cutoff dates. One thing in particular is the first-in-first-out order.
Hi, what would be the outlook for EB3-ROW? Any ideas?
[...] now that the official April 2010 Visa Bulletin is out, my theory of predicting the cutoff dates turned out to be off by two months for China EB2. So I won’t bother you with [...]
Please give me aN ESTIMATED DATE ON THE STATUS OF MY IMMIGRANT VISA.I was sponsored by my mother ,a US citizen. I fall in category three
The priority date was July 2005