April 2010 Visa Bulletin Predictions – Example

For the upcoming April 2010 Visa Bulletin, we predict that cut-off date for China EB-2 to be October 15 or 22, of 2005. This is based on the newly released DOS Visa Office explanation of how cutoff dates are established.

Well, the offical April VB should arrive within a couple days, so we will see if this calculation is accurate. If it is, we will tell you how we come up with that number in a follow-up post.

This exercise is more fun than useful, because it doesn’t help you much by knowing the cutoff dates just a bit earlier. And there is no guarantee that DOS will continue to publish their data every month. But it is a good way to understand how the process works, and it has certainly helped me.

6 thoughts on “April 2010 Visa Bulletin Predictions – Example

  1. IR_Blog Post author

    EB2 India is difficult to estimate because DOS only showed breakdown data as of 2006.

    I’ll just leave my “prediction” like that, as an example, because there are several other variables that VO didn’t disclose, which may be used in their calculation of cutoff dates. One thing in particular is the first-in-first-out order.

  2. Pingback: April 2010 Visa Bulletin (Incorrect) Predictions | Immigration Road Blog

  3. Zorena Ibrahim

    Please give me aN ESTIMATED DATE ON THE STATUS OF MY IMMIGRANT VISA.I was sponsored by my mother ,a US citizen. I fall in category three

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